Trader sentiment for Cape Town's August 7 maximum temperature centers on 18–19°C outcomes because these align closely with the city's Mediterranean winter climatology, where average daily highs reach 17–18°C under cool Atlantic air masses, frequent cloud cover, and westerly flow. Short-range model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability driven by subtle shifts in ridge strength or onshore breeze, allowing the small probability spread across 18–20°C without strong signals for warmer advection or clear-sky heating that would favor 21°C or higher. Historical records indicate maxima above 20°C remain uncommon this time of year absent unusual synoptic setups, keeping lower outcomes at minimal implied probability while acknowledging forecast uncertainty typical two days out.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日开普敦气温最高？
8月7日开普敦气温最高？
19°C 38%
18°C 31%
20°C 19%
17°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
11%
18°C
31%
19°C
38%
20°C
19%
21°C
8%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C或更高
2%
19°C 38%
18°C 31%
20°C 19%
17°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
14°C或以下
$5 交易量
2%
15°C
$13 交易量
2%
16°C
$20 交易量
4%
17°C
$0 交易量
11%
18°C
$0 交易量
31%
19°C
$56 交易量
38%
20°C
$5 交易量
19%
21°C
$20 交易量
8%
22°C
$30 交易量
3%
23°C
$35 交易量
1%
24°C或更高
$10 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Cape Town's August 7 maximum temperature centers on 18–19°C outcomes because these align closely with the city's Mediterranean winter climatology, where average daily highs reach 17–18°C under cool Atlantic air masses, frequent cloud cover, and westerly flow. Short-range model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability driven by subtle shifts in ridge strength or onshore breeze, allowing the small probability spread across 18–20°C without strong signals for warmer advection or clear-sky heating that would favor 21°C or higher. Historical records indicate maxima above 20°C remain uncommon this time of year absent unusual synoptic setups, keeping lower outcomes at minimal implied probability while acknowledging forecast uncertainty typical two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$193结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Cape Town's August 7 maximum temperature centers on 18–19°C outcomes because these align closely with the city's Mediterranean winter climatology, where average daily highs reach 17–18°C under cool Atlantic air masses, frequent cloud cover, and westerly flow. Short-range model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability driven by subtle shifts in ridge strength or onshore breeze, allowing the small probability spread across 18–20°C without strong signals for warmer advection or clear-sky heating that would favor 21°C or higher. Historical records indicate maxima above 20°C remain uncommon this time of year absent unusual synoptic setups, keeping lower outcomes at minimal implied probability while acknowledging forecast uncertainty typical two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$193结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ETTrader sentiment for Cape Town's August 7 maximum temperature centers on 18–19°C outcomes because these align closely with the city's Mediterranean winter climatology, where average daily highs reach 17–18°C under cool Atlantic air masses, frequent cloud cover, and westerly flow. Short-range model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability driven by subtle shifts in ridge strength or onshore breeze, allowing the small probability spread across 18–20°C without strong signals for warmer advection or clear-sky heating that would favor 21°C or higher. Historical records indicate maxima above 20°C remain uncommon this time of year absent unusual synoptic setups, keeping lower outcomes at minimal implied probability while acknowledging forecast uncertainty typical two days out.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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