Recent short-range forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models points to typical mid-August subtropical conditions on August 7, with overnight radiative cooling limited by expected cloud cover and scattered showers that favor minimum temperatures near 27°C. This aligns with the market’s leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes, while the spread to 26°C reflects uncertainty in nocturnal wind speeds and rainfall timing that could enhance or suppress cooling. Hong Kong’s August climatology shows average lows of 26–28°C, and the official seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides little basis for extremes below 25°C or above 29°C given the absence of strong monsoon surges or typhoon influences in the immediate forecast window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日香港最低气温？
8月7日香港最低气温？
27°C 40%
28°C 36%
26°C 19%
25°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
13%
26°C
19%
27°C
40%
28°C
36%
29°C
9%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
1%
27°C 40%
28°C 36%
26°C 19%
25°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
21°C或以下
$35 交易量
<1%
22°C
$50 交易量
<1%
23°C
$50 交易量
1%
24°C
$65 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
13%
26°C
$33 交易量
19%
27°C
$95 交易量
40%
28°C
$272 交易量
36%
29°C
$0 交易量
9%
30°C
$506 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$55 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models points to typical mid-August subtropical conditions on August 7, with overnight radiative cooling limited by expected cloud cover and scattered showers that favor minimum temperatures near 27°C. This aligns with the market’s leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes, while the spread to 26°C reflects uncertainty in nocturnal wind speeds and rainfall timing that could enhance or suppress cooling. Hong Kong’s August climatology shows average lows of 26–28°C, and the official seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides little basis for extremes below 25°C or above 29°C given the absence of strong monsoon surges or typhoon influences in the immediate forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,163结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models points to typical mid-August subtropical conditions on August 7, with overnight radiative cooling limited by expected cloud cover and scattered showers that favor minimum temperatures near 27°C. This aligns with the market’s leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes, while the spread to 26°C reflects uncertainty in nocturnal wind speeds and rainfall timing that could enhance or suppress cooling. Hong Kong’s August climatology shows average lows of 26–28°C, and the official seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides little basis for extremes below 25°C or above 29°C given the absence of strong monsoon surges or typhoon influences in the immediate forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,163结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models points to typical mid-August subtropical conditions on August 7, with overnight radiative cooling limited by expected cloud cover and scattered showers that favor minimum temperatures near 27°C. This aligns with the market’s leading 27°C and 28°C outcomes, while the spread to 26°C reflects uncertainty in nocturnal wind speeds and rainfall timing that could enhance or suppress cooling. Hong Kong’s August climatology shows average lows of 26–28°C, and the official seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides little basis for extremes below 25°C or above 29°C given the absence of strong monsoon surges or typhoon influences in the immediate forecast window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题