Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a high near 33°C for Guangzhou on August 5, 2026, under cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology, where average daily maxima reach 32–33°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences that limit intense solar heating. Trader consensus favors 34°C (43.5% implied probability) or 33°C (29.5%) as the most likely outcomes, reflecting model agreement on modest daytime warming offset by cloud cover and precipitation. Lower probabilities for 35°C or above stem from the absence of clear, high-pressure setups that historically enable peaks near 36–38°C, while cooler readings remain unlikely given seasonal baselines. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will refine resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日广州气温最高？
8月5日广州气温最高？
34°C 50%
33°C 28%
35°C 13%
32°C 3.2%
$49,797 交易量
$49,797 交易量
2026-08-05
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
28%
34°C
47%
35°C
13%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
<1%
34°C 50%
33°C 28%
35°C 13%
32°C 3.2%
$49,797 交易量
$49,797 交易量
2026-08-05
28°C或以下
$279 交易量
<1%
29°C
$407 交易量
<1%
30°C
$814 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,297 交易量
<1%
32°C
$6,907 交易量
3%
33°C
$3,998 交易量
28%
34°C
$5,867 交易量
47%
35°C
$8,247 交易量
13%
36°C
$5,023 交易量
3%
37°C
$7,051 交易量
1%
38°C或更高
$8,906 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a high near 33°C for Guangzhou on August 5, 2026, under cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology, where average daily maxima reach 32–33°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences that limit intense solar heating. Trader consensus favors 34°C (43.5% implied probability) or 33°C (29.5%) as the most likely outcomes, reflecting model agreement on modest daytime warming offset by cloud cover and precipitation. Lower probabilities for 35°C or above stem from the absence of clear, high-pressure setups that historically enable peaks near 36–38°C, while cooler readings remain unlikely given seasonal baselines. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$49,797结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a high near 33°C for Guangzhou on August 5, 2026, under cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology, where average daily maxima reach 32–33°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences that limit intense solar heating. Trader consensus favors 34°C (43.5% implied probability) or 33°C (29.5%) as the most likely outcomes, reflecting model agreement on modest daytime warming offset by cloud cover and precipitation. Lower probabilities for 35°C or above stem from the absence of clear, high-pressure setups that historically enable peaks near 36–38°C, while cooler readings remain unlikely given seasonal baselines. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$49,797结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETRecent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a high near 33°C for Guangzhou on August 5, 2026, under cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology, where average daily maxima reach 32–33°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences that limit intense solar heating. Trader consensus favors 34°C (43.5% implied probability) or 33°C (29.5%) as the most likely outcomes, reflecting model agreement on modest daytime warming offset by cloud cover and precipitation. Lower probabilities for 35°C or above stem from the absence of clear, high-pressure setups that historically enable peaks near 36–38°C, while cooler readings remain unlikely given seasonal baselines. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will refine resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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