Recent high-resolution forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst indicate a warm air mass over southern Germany, supporting daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C in Munich on August 5. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied odds for 34°C at 44.5% and 33°C at 26.5%. Ensemble model spreads and recent observations from prior days near 31°C highlight modest uncertainty around afternoon peaks, influenced by local urban heat effects and potential for limited cloud cover or weak frontal passage. Official DWD station data at resolution time will determine the exact outcome amid typical summer variability above the 22–25°C August climatological average.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日慕尼黑气温最高？
8月5日慕尼黑气温最高？
34°C 50%
33°C 19%
35°C 14%
32°C 8%
$60,051 交易量
$60,051 交易量
2026-08-05
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
8%
33°C
19%
34°C
50%
35°C
14%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 50%
33°C 19%
35°C 14%
32°C 8%
$60,051 交易量
$60,051 交易量
2026-08-05
30°C or below
$4,283 交易量
<1%
31°C
$4,288 交易量
<1%
32°C
$9,166 交易量
8%
33°C
$10,551 交易量
19%
34°C
$8,954 交易量
50%
35°C
$10,543 交易量
14%
36°C
$8,686 交易量
2%
37°C
$2,396 交易量
<1%
38°C
$449 交易量
<1%
39°C
$383 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$353 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst indicate a warm air mass over southern Germany, supporting daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C in Munich on August 5. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied odds for 34°C at 44.5% and 33°C at 26.5%. Ensemble model spreads and recent observations from prior days near 31°C highlight modest uncertainty around afternoon peaks, influenced by local urban heat effects and potential for limited cloud cover or weak frontal passage. Official DWD station data at resolution time will determine the exact outcome amid typical summer variability above the 22–25°C August climatological average.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$60,051结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst indicate a warm air mass over southern Germany, supporting daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C in Munich on August 5. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied odds for 34°C at 44.5% and 33°C at 26.5%. Ensemble model spreads and recent observations from prior days near 31°C highlight modest uncertainty around afternoon peaks, influenced by local urban heat effects and potential for limited cloud cover or weak frontal passage. Official DWD station data at resolution time will determine the exact outcome amid typical summer variability above the 22–25°C August climatological average.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$60,051结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent high-resolution forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst indicate a warm air mass over southern Germany, supporting daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C in Munich on August 5. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied odds for 34°C at 44.5% and 33°C at 26.5%. Ensemble model spreads and recent observations from prior days near 31°C highlight modest uncertainty around afternoon peaks, influenced by local urban heat effects and potential for limited cloud cover or weak frontal passage. Official DWD station data at resolution time will determine the exact outcome amid typical summer variability above the 22–25°C August climatological average.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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