Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a high of 25–26°C in London on August 5, driven by a shift to cooler, breezier conditions with sunny intervals following earlier heatwave peaks. This aligns with historical August averages near 23°C and reflects typical post-heatwave moderation from Atlantic influences. Trader consensus on these thresholds as leading outcomes stems from consistent model runs showing limited daytime heating under moderate winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 27°C or dropping below 24°C absent major forecast revisions. Upcoming official observations from urban stations will resolve the market, underscoring how short-term atmospheric steering patterns shape these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日伦敦气温最高？
8月5日伦敦气温最高？
25°C 51%
26°C 31%
24°C 16%
23°C 2%
$71,929 交易量
$71,929 交易量
2026-08-05
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
16%
25°C
51%
26°C
31%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
25°C 51%
26°C 31%
24°C 16%
23°C 2%
$71,929 交易量
$71,929 交易量
2026-08-05
20°C或以下
$537 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,180 交易量
<1%
22°C
$5,281 交易量
<1%
23°C
$8,968 交易量
2%
24°C
$7,784 交易量
16%
25°C
$10,643 交易量
51%
26°C
$7,840 交易量
31%
27°C
$8,629 交易量
1%
28°C
$4,429 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,444 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$13,194 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a high of 25–26°C in London on August 5, driven by a shift to cooler, breezier conditions with sunny intervals following earlier heatwave peaks. This aligns with historical August averages near 23°C and reflects typical post-heatwave moderation from Atlantic influences. Trader consensus on these thresholds as leading outcomes stems from consistent model runs showing limited daytime heating under moderate winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 27°C or dropping below 24°C absent major forecast revisions. Upcoming official observations from urban stations will resolve the market, underscoring how short-term atmospheric steering patterns shape these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$71,929结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a high of 25–26°C in London on August 5, driven by a shift to cooler, breezier conditions with sunny intervals following earlier heatwave peaks. This aligns with historical August averages near 23°C and reflects typical post-heatwave moderation from Atlantic influences. Trader consensus on these thresholds as leading outcomes stems from consistent model runs showing limited daytime heating under moderate winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 27°C or dropping below 24°C absent major forecast revisions. Upcoming official observations from urban stations will resolve the market, underscoring how short-term atmospheric steering patterns shape these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$71,929结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a high of 25–26°C in London on August 5, driven by a shift to cooler, breezier conditions with sunny intervals following earlier heatwave peaks. This aligns with historical August averages near 23°C and reflects typical post-heatwave moderation from Atlantic influences. Trader consensus on these thresholds as leading outcomes stems from consistent model runs showing limited daytime heating under moderate winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 27°C or dropping below 24°C absent major forecast revisions. Upcoming official observations from urban stations will resolve the market, underscoring how short-term atmospheric steering patterns shape these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题