Recent cooling after a mid-week heat spike positions 23°C as the frontrunner for London's August 6 maximum, with Met Office and ensemble forecasts converging on highs of 22–24°C under building high pressure and moderating Atlantic flow. Trader probabilities (46% for 23°C, 25.5% for 24°C, 24.5% for 22°C) mirror this consensus, as models show limited diurnal heating and only modest recovery potential. Typical early-August climatology centers near 22–23°C, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification reduces odds of exceeding 25°C. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日伦敦气温最高？
8月6日伦敦气温最高？
23°C 46%
24°C 26%
22°C 25%
25°C 4%
最新
$19,190 交易量
最新
$19,190 交易量
2026-08-06
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
25%
23°C
46%
24°C
26%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 46%
24°C 26%
22°C 25%
25°C 4%
最新
$19,190 交易量
最新
$19,190 交易量
2026-08-06
19°C or below
$3,183 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,563 交易量
2%
21°C
$2,150 交易量
3%
22°C
$2,752 交易量
25%
23°C
$3,662 交易量
46%
24°C
$1,299 交易量
26%
25°C
$1,257 交易量
4%
26°C
$773 交易量
<1%
27°C
$862 交易量
<1%
28°C
$501 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$1,187 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after a mid-week heat spike positions 23°C as the frontrunner for London's August 6 maximum, with Met Office and ensemble forecasts converging on highs of 22–24°C under building high pressure and moderating Atlantic flow. Trader probabilities (46% for 23°C, 25.5% for 24°C, 24.5% for 22°C) mirror this consensus, as models show limited diurnal heating and only modest recovery potential. Typical early-August climatology centers near 22–23°C, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification reduces odds of exceeding 25°C. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$19,190结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after a mid-week heat spike positions 23°C as the frontrunner for London's August 6 maximum, with Met Office and ensemble forecasts converging on highs of 22–24°C under building high pressure and moderating Atlantic flow. Trader probabilities (46% for 23°C, 25.5% for 24°C, 24.5% for 22°C) mirror this consensus, as models show limited diurnal heating and only modest recovery potential. Typical early-August climatology centers near 22–23°C, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification reduces odds of exceeding 25°C. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,190结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent cooling after a mid-week heat spike positions 23°C as the frontrunner for London's August 6 maximum, with Met Office and ensemble forecasts converging on highs of 22–24°C under building high pressure and moderating Atlantic flow. Trader probabilities (46% for 23°C, 25.5% for 24°C, 24.5% for 22°C) mirror this consensus, as models show limited diurnal heating and only modest recovery potential. Typical early-August climatology centers near 22–23°C, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification reduces odds of exceeding 25°C. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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