National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport, the key resolution station, currently project a high near 77°F on August 6 under persistent marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow that limits coastal warming. This aligns with recent observed highs of 77–78°F and supports the market's heavy weighting toward the 76–79°F range. Broader regional heat has been confined inland, leaving coastal areas seasonably mild relative to August climatology of 84°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日洛杉矶气温最高?
78-79°F 54%
76-77°F 37%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 5%
$14,599 交易量
$14,599 交易量
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
37%
78-79°F
54%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
<1%
78-79°F 54%
76-77°F 37%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 5%
$14,599 交易量
$14,599 交易量
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
37%
78-79°F
54%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport, the key resolution station, currently project a high near 77°F on August 6 under persistent marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow that limits coastal warming. This aligns with recent observed highs of 77–78°F and supports the market's heavy weighting toward the 76–79°F range. Broader regional heat has been confined inland, leaving coastal areas seasonably mild relative to August climatology of 84°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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