Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a shift to cooler, more typical early-August conditions across southeast England following a period of above-average warmth, with clear or partly cloudy skies expected to promote overnight radiative cooling. This supports minimum temperatures near the long-term climatological average of 13–14°C for London in early August, aligning with the market's leading 14°C (52%) and 13°C (28.5%) outcomes. Forecast consensus shows daytime highs around 24–25°C on August 7, while light winds and limited cloud cover limit the potential for warmer nights. Updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine overnight low guidance ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日伦敦最低气温?
14°C 46%
13°C 27%
15°C 22%
16°C 12%
10°C或以下
2%
11°C
7%
12°C
8%
13°C
25%
14°C
46%
15°C
20%
16°C
12%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
1%
14°C 46%
13°C 27%
15°C 22%
16°C 12%
10°C或以下
2%
11°C
7%
12°C
8%
13°C
25%
14°C
46%
15°C
20%
16°C
12%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a shift to cooler, more typical early-August conditions across southeast England following a period of above-average warmth, with clear or partly cloudy skies expected to promote overnight radiative cooling. This supports minimum temperatures near the long-term climatological average of 13–14°C for London in early August, aligning with the market's leading 14°C (52%) and 13°C (28.5%) outcomes. Forecast consensus shows daytime highs around 24–25°C on August 7, while light winds and limited cloud cover limit the potential for warmer nights. Updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine overnight low guidance ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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