Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 7 clustering near 31–33 °C because long-term August climatology and early-month model guidance place typical daytime maxima in that range amid humid subtropical conditions. Afternoon convection and scattered showers, driven by the East Asian monsoon and local topography in the Sichuan Basin, frequently cap peak readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical data show early-August highs averaging 30–34 °C with day-to-day variability of several degrees tied to steering patterns and moisture influx. Short-range ensemble forecasts will refine this range over the next 48 hours, with any strengthening ridge or drier air mass potentially pushing values toward 34–35 °C and shifting implied probabilities accordingly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日成都气温最高?
32°C 24%
31°C 22%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
22%
32°C
24%
33°C
19%
34°C
8%
35℃或以上
9%
32°C 24%
31°C 22%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
22%
32°C
24%
33°C
19%
34°C
8%
35℃或以上
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 7 clustering near 31–33 °C because long-term August climatology and early-month model guidance place typical daytime maxima in that range amid humid subtropical conditions. Afternoon convection and scattered showers, driven by the East Asian monsoon and local topography in the Sichuan Basin, frequently cap peak readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical data show early-August highs averaging 30–34 °C with day-to-day variability of several degrees tied to steering patterns and moisture influx. Short-range ensemble forecasts will refine this range over the next 48 hours, with any strengthening ridge or drier air mass potentially pushing values toward 34–35 °C and shifting implied probabilities accordingly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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