Recent Météo-France guidance points to a brief cooldown across the Île-de-France region, with a cooler air mass and largely clear overnight skies expected to lower minimum temperatures on August 7. Forecast lows cluster near 15–17 °C, but model spreads and subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty that narrows the distribution toward 12–13 °C. Minimum temperature is governed by nocturnal radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover, local wind speed, and the dew-point depression; even a 1–2 °C shift in these variables can separate the leading market outcomes. With resolution hinging on the official Paris-Montsouris reading, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and any evening updates from Météo-France.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日巴黎最低气温?
12°C 37%
13°C 36%
11°C 12%
14°C 11%
9°C或以下
6%
10°C
8%
11°C
12%
12°C
37%
13°C
36%
14°C
11%
15°C
8%
16°C
10%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C或更高
1%
12°C 37%
13°C 36%
11°C 12%
14°C 11%
9°C或以下
6%
10°C
8%
11°C
12%
12°C
37%
13°C
36%
14°C
11%
15°C
8%
16°C
10%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Météo-France guidance points to a brief cooldown across the Île-de-France region, with a cooler air mass and largely clear overnight skies expected to lower minimum temperatures on August 7. Forecast lows cluster near 15–17 °C, but model spreads and subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty that narrows the distribution toward 12–13 °C. Minimum temperature is governed by nocturnal radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover, local wind speed, and the dew-point depression; even a 1–2 °C shift in these variables can separate the leading market outcomes. With resolution hinging on the official Paris-Montsouris reading, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and any evening updates from Météo-France.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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