Current weather observations and short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate that temperatures in Paris have remained at or above 20°C through the early hours of August 5, 2026, with minimal overnight cooling under stable high-pressure conditions and warm southerly flow. This has produced a market-implied probability exceeding 90% for a daily minimum of exactly 20°C, reflecting the consensus of real-time data showing the lowest readings so far clustered near that threshold. Typical August nocturnal minima in the region hover near 15–17°C, but recent model runs and surface analyses support limited radiative cooling tonight due to cloud cover and humidity. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or clearer skies promoting stronger radiative heat loss, though such shifts appear unlikely given the current synoptic pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日巴黎最低气温？
8月5日巴黎最低气温？
20°C 93%
19°C 6%
18°C 4%
17°C 2%
$15,507 交易量
$15,507 交易量
2026-08-05
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
6%
20°C
93%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 93%
19°C 6%
18°C 4%
17°C 2%
$15,507 交易量
$15,507 交易量
2026-08-05
16°C or below
$1,115 交易量
<1%
17°C
$324 交易量
2%
18°C
$823 交易量
4%
19°C
$3,429 交易量
6%
20°C
$1,972 交易量
93%
21°C
$4,712 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,200 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,022 交易量
<1%
24°C
$659 交易量
<1%
25°C
$416 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$353 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather observations and short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate that temperatures in Paris have remained at or above 20°C through the early hours of August 5, 2026, with minimal overnight cooling under stable high-pressure conditions and warm southerly flow. This has produced a market-implied probability exceeding 90% for a daily minimum of exactly 20°C, reflecting the consensus of real-time data showing the lowest readings so far clustered near that threshold. Typical August nocturnal minima in the region hover near 15–17°C, but recent model runs and surface analyses support limited radiative cooling tonight due to cloud cover and humidity. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or clearer skies promoting stronger radiative heat loss, though such shifts appear unlikely given the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$15,507结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather observations and short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate that temperatures in Paris have remained at or above 20°C through the early hours of August 5, 2026, with minimal overnight cooling under stable high-pressure conditions and warm southerly flow. This has produced a market-implied probability exceeding 90% for a daily minimum of exactly 20°C, reflecting the consensus of real-time data showing the lowest readings so far clustered near that threshold. Typical August nocturnal minima in the region hover near 15–17°C, but recent model runs and surface analyses support limited radiative cooling tonight due to cloud cover and humidity. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or clearer skies promoting stronger radiative heat loss, though such shifts appear unlikely given the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,507结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent weather observations and short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate that temperatures in Paris have remained at or above 20°C through the early hours of August 5, 2026, with minimal overnight cooling under stable high-pressure conditions and warm southerly flow. This has produced a market-implied probability exceeding 90% for a daily minimum of exactly 20°C, reflecting the consensus of real-time data showing the lowest readings so far clustered near that threshold. Typical August nocturnal minima in the region hover near 15–17°C, but recent model runs and surface analyses support limited radiative cooling tonight due to cloud cover and humidity. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or clearer skies promoting stronger radiative heat loss, though such shifts appear unlikely given the current synoptic pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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