Recent numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France and European ensembles show Paris maximum temperatures on August 5 settling near 28–29 °C under clear, dry anticyclonic conditions with light southwesterly flow. These outcomes dominate trader sentiment because surface observations and model consensus indicate ample solar insolation without significant cloud cover or frontal cooling, while historical August climatology for the Paris basin supports highs in this narrow band. Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects keeps 27 °C and 30 °C as low-probability tails, with resolution hinging on the official Météo-France daily maximum recorded at the Parc Saint-Cloud station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日巴黎气温最高?
29°C 43%
28°C 40%
27°C 10%
30°C 6.0%
$86,699 交易量
$86,699 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
10%
28°C
40%
29°C
43%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
29°C 43%
28°C 40%
27°C 10%
30°C 6.0%
$86,699 交易量
$86,699 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
10%
28°C
40%
29°C
43%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France and European ensembles show Paris maximum temperatures on August 5 settling near 28–29 °C under clear, dry anticyclonic conditions with light southwesterly flow. These outcomes dominate trader sentiment because surface observations and model consensus indicate ample solar insolation without significant cloud cover or frontal cooling, while historical August climatology for the Paris basin supports highs in this narrow band. Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects keeps 27 °C and 30 °C as low-probability tails, with resolution hinging on the official Météo-France daily maximum recorded at the Parc Saint-Cloud station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题