Strong model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration supports a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 5, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical late-summer monsoon conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. Overnight lows near this threshold align with recent observational trends and ensemble forecasts showing limited variability from cloud cover or precipitation. Traders assign 98.5% implied probability to 27°C because deviations would require atypical atmospheric shifts, such as stronger cold advection or unforecasted convective activity, which current guidance does not indicate. Resolution depends on official station readings, with minor model spread introducing limited uncertainty near the close of the trading window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日上海最低气温？
8月5日上海最低气温？
27°C 99%
26°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,634 交易量
$33,634 交易量
2026-08-05
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32℃或更高
<1%
27°C 99%
26°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,634 交易量
$33,634 交易量
2026-08-05
22°C或以下
$1,016 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,672 交易量
1%
24°C
$3,142 交易量
1%
25°C
$2,750 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,901 交易量
1%
27°C
$4,585 交易量
99%
28°C
$3,587 交易量
<1%
29°C
$9,246 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,871 交易量
<1%
31°C
$512 交易量
<1%
32℃或更高
$2,353 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration supports a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 5, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical late-summer monsoon conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. Overnight lows near this threshold align with recent observational trends and ensemble forecasts showing limited variability from cloud cover or precipitation. Traders assign 98.5% implied probability to 27°C because deviations would require atypical atmospheric shifts, such as stronger cold advection or unforecasted convective activity, which current guidance does not indicate. Resolution depends on official station readings, with minor model spread introducing limited uncertainty near the close of the trading window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$33,634结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration supports a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 5, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical late-summer monsoon conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. Overnight lows near this threshold align with recent observational trends and ensemble forecasts showing limited variability from cloud cover or precipitation. Traders assign 98.5% implied probability to 27°C because deviations would require atypical atmospheric shifts, such as stronger cold advection or unforecasted convective activity, which current guidance does not indicate. Resolution depends on official station readings, with minor model spread introducing limited uncertainty near the close of the trading window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,634结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETStrong model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration supports a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 5, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical late-summer monsoon conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. Overnight lows near this threshold align with recent observational trends and ensemble forecasts showing limited variability from cloud cover or precipitation. Traders assign 98.5% implied probability to 27°C because deviations would require atypical atmospheric shifts, such as stronger cold advection or unforecasted convective activity, which current guidance does not indicate. Resolution depends on official station readings, with minor model spread introducing limited uncertainty near the close of the trading window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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