Latest ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai minimum temperature of 28–29°C on August 6, anchoring the market’s 57% implied probability on 29°C and 28.5% on 28°C. In the city’s humid subtropical regime during peak summer, persistent high moisture and light winds suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows close to recent observed values around 26–28°C. Subtle differences in model boundary-layer schemes and any late-day cloud cover or showers introduce the modest spread traders are pricing, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported at the Shanghai station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日上海最低气温？
8月6日上海最低气温？
29°C 57%
28°C 29%
27℃ 9%
30°C 7.8%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27℃
9%
28°C
29%
29°C
57%
30°C
8%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
29°C 57%
28°C 29%
27℃ 9%
30°C 7.8%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
22°C或以下
$353 交易量
<1%
23°C
$376 交易量
<1%
24°C
$607 交易量
<1%
25°C
$864 交易量
<1%
26°C
$648 交易量
3%
27℃
$1,170 交易量
9%
28°C
$1,794 交易量
29%
29°C
$1,517 交易量
57%
30°C
$1,336 交易量
8%
31°C
$411 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$343 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai minimum temperature of 28–29°C on August 6, anchoring the market’s 57% implied probability on 29°C and 28.5% on 28°C. In the city’s humid subtropical regime during peak summer, persistent high moisture and light winds suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows close to recent observed values around 26–28°C. Subtle differences in model boundary-layer schemes and any late-day cloud cover or showers introduce the modest spread traders are pricing, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported at the Shanghai station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$9,418结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai minimum temperature of 28–29°C on August 6, anchoring the market’s 57% implied probability on 29°C and 28.5% on 28°C. In the city’s humid subtropical regime during peak summer, persistent high moisture and light winds suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows close to recent observed values around 26–28°C. Subtle differences in model boundary-layer schemes and any late-day cloud cover or showers introduce the modest spread traders are pricing, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported at the Shanghai station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,418结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai minimum temperature of 28–29°C on August 6, anchoring the market’s 57% implied probability on 29°C and 28.5% on 28°C. In the city’s humid subtropical regime during peak summer, persistent high moisture and light winds suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows close to recent observed values around 26–28°C. Subtle differences in model boundary-layer schemes and any late-day cloud cover or showers introduce the modest spread traders are pricing, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported at the Shanghai station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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