Current forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration positions 35°C as the leading outcome for Seoul-Incheon’s August 6 daily maximum, reflecting typical midsummer conditions with strong subtropical high pressure, southerly warm-air advection, and limited cloud cover or rainfall. Historical climatology shows early-August averages near 31–32°C, yet recent seasons have featured more frequent 34–35°C readings amid elevated baseline temperatures. Model consensus points to modest urban heat-island enhancement at official stations without major cooling fronts expected before the observation window. Resolution hinges on the precise KMA-reported high, with any shift in steering patterns or afternoon convection the main variables that could adjust the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日首尔(仁川)气温最高?
35°C 51%
34°C 24%
36°C 16%
37°C or higher 6.9%
$23,519 交易量
$23,519 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
5%
34°C
24%
35°C
51%
36°C
16%
37°C or higher
7%
35°C 51%
34°C 24%
36°C 16%
37°C or higher 6.9%
$23,519 交易量
$23,519 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
5%
34°C
24%
35°C
51%
36°C
16%
37°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration positions 35°C as the leading outcome for Seoul-Incheon’s August 6 daily maximum, reflecting typical midsummer conditions with strong subtropical high pressure, southerly warm-air advection, and limited cloud cover or rainfall. Historical climatology shows early-August averages near 31–32°C, yet recent seasons have featured more frequent 34–35°C readings amid elevated baseline temperatures. Model consensus points to modest urban heat-island enhancement at official stations without major cooling fronts expected before the observation window. Resolution hinges on the precise KMA-reported high, with any shift in steering patterns or afternoon convection the main variables that could adjust the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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