Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila on August 7 project daytime highs of 30–31°C amid 80% rain chances from the southwest monsoon, with lingering moisture from early-month Tropical Cyclone Luis keeping skies cloudy. These conditions limit peak solar heating and favor the market's tight clustering around 28–29°C, as high humidity and frequent showers moderate surface temperatures below seasonal averages near 31°C. Model consensus points to modest variability depending on exact rainfall timing and cloud cover thickness, with traders weighting the balance between brief clear spells allowing brief warming and persistent monsoon flow capping extremes. Official observations from the agency will determine the recorded daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日马尼拉的最高温度?
29°C 41%
28°C 29%
30°C 17%
27°C 12%
24°C或以下
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
12%
28°C
29%
29°C
41%
30°C
17%
31°C
11%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C或以上
2%
29°C 41%
28°C 29%
30°C 17%
27°C 12%
24°C或以下
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
12%
28°C
29%
29°C
41%
30°C
17%
31°C
11%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila on August 7 project daytime highs of 30–31°C amid 80% rain chances from the southwest monsoon, with lingering moisture from early-month Tropical Cyclone Luis keeping skies cloudy. These conditions limit peak solar heating and favor the market's tight clustering around 28–29°C, as high humidity and frequent showers moderate surface temperatures below seasonal averages near 31°C. Model consensus points to modest variability depending on exact rainfall timing and cloud cover thickness, with traders weighting the balance between brief clear spells allowing brief warming and persistent monsoon flow capping extremes. Official observations from the agency will determine the recorded daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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