Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 indicate a daytime high near 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 80–90% rain chances that limit solar heating and cap peaks. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 29°C (44.5% implied probability) over 30°C, as persistent cloud cover and showers—typical of August’s wet-season climatology—often suppress maxima 1–2°C below the 31°C historical average. Model guidance shows limited diurnal range due to high humidity and weak steering winds, reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 32°C or higher. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent runs and morning observations on resolution day remain the key variables that could shift sentiment toward the 28–30°C cluster.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月6日马尼拉的最高温度？
29°C 44%
30°C 28%
28°C 18%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
18%
29°C
44%
30°C
28%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
29°C 44%
30°C 28%
28°C 18%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
25°C或以下
$226 交易量
<1%
26°C
$59 交易量
<1%
27°C
$245 交易量
3%
28°C
$144 交易量
18%
29°C
$1,941 交易量
44%
30°C
$582 交易量
28%
31°C
$307 交易量
5%
32°C
$116 交易量
1%
33°C
$468 交易量
<1%
34°C
$103 交易量
<1%
35°C或更高
$109 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 indicate a daytime high near 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 80–90% rain chances that limit solar heating and cap peaks. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 29°C (44.5% implied probability) over 30°C, as persistent cloud cover and showers—typical of August’s wet-season climatology—often suppress maxima 1–2°C below the 31°C historical average. Model guidance shows limited diurnal range due to high humidity and weak steering winds, reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 32°C or higher. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent runs and morning observations on resolution day remain the key variables that could shift sentiment toward the 28–30°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$4,300结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 indicate a daytime high near 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 80–90% rain chances that limit solar heating and cap peaks. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 29°C (44.5% implied probability) over 30°C, as persistent cloud cover and showers—typical of August’s wet-season climatology—often suppress maxima 1–2°C below the 31°C historical average. Model guidance shows limited diurnal range due to high humidity and weak steering winds, reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 32°C or higher. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent runs and morning observations on resolution day remain the key variables that could shift sentiment toward the 28–30°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,300结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 indicate a daytime high near 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 80–90% rain chances that limit solar heating and cap peaks. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 29°C (44.5% implied probability) over 30°C, as persistent cloud cover and showers—typical of August’s wet-season climatology—often suppress maxima 1–2°C below the 31°C historical average. Model guidance shows limited diurnal range due to high humidity and weak steering winds, reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 32°C or higher. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent runs and morning observations on resolution day remain the key variables that could shift sentiment toward the 28–30°C cluster.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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