Seattle's temperature outlook for August 5 centers on ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA models projecting a daily high near 87–89°F at Sea-Tac International Airport, driven by strengthening ridging and reduced marine-layer influence over western Washington. This aligns with the market's emphasis on the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins as leading outcomes amid a broader above-normal summer pattern, with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center assigning high probabilities of warmer-than-average conditions through August. Historical August averages hover near 77–79°F, but persistent positive temperature anomalies and limited onshore flow have elevated short-term guidance into the upper 80s. Official resolution will rely on the highest observed hourly reading at KSEA, with minimal model spread supporting trader consensus around these thresholds before final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日西雅图气温最高?
86-87°F 40%
88-89°F 26%
84-85°F 19%
82-83°F 8.2%
$35,296 交易量
$35,296 交易量
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 40%
88-89°F 26%
84-85°F 19%
82-83°F 8.2%
$35,296 交易量
$35,296 交易量
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Seattle's temperature outlook for August 5 centers on ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA models projecting a daily high near 87–89°F at Sea-Tac International Airport, driven by strengthening ridging and reduced marine-layer influence over western Washington. This aligns with the market's emphasis on the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins as leading outcomes amid a broader above-normal summer pattern, with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center assigning high probabilities of warmer-than-average conditions through August. Historical August averages hover near 77–79°F, but persistent positive temperature anomalies and limited onshore flow have elevated short-term guidance into the upper 80s. Official resolution will rely on the highest observed hourly reading at KSEA, with minimal model spread supporting trader consensus around these thresholds before final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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