A persistent marine layer combined with onshore flow is suppressing daytime heating along the Los Angeles coast, keeping official forecasts centered near 77°F for the daily high on August 5. National Weather Service guidance for Los Angeles International Airport highlights this typical summer pattern, in which cool, moist air from the Pacific limits warming and prevents temperatures from climbing into the low 80s. Historical August averages near 84°F are offset this day by the strengthened marine influence, aligning trader consensus with the 76-77°F bin at roughly 73% implied probability. Minor upside risk to 78-79°F exists if the layer thins earlier than modeled, while cooler 74-75°F outcomes remain possible with stronger onshore winds. Updated NWS model runs and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日洛杉矶气温最高?
76-77°F 73%
78-79°F 14%
74-75°F 12%
80-81°F 1.6%
$28,291 交易量
$28,291 交易量
67°F或更低
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
73%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 73%
78-79°F 14%
74-75°F 12%
80-81°F 1.6%
$28,291 交易量
$28,291 交易量
67°F或更低
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
73%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
A persistent marine layer combined with onshore flow is suppressing daytime heating along the Los Angeles coast, keeping official forecasts centered near 77°F for the daily high on August 5. National Weather Service guidance for Los Angeles International Airport highlights this typical summer pattern, in which cool, moist air from the Pacific limits warming and prevents temperatures from climbing into the low 80s. Historical August averages near 84°F are offset this day by the strengthened marine influence, aligning trader consensus with the 76-77°F bin at roughly 73% implied probability. Minor upside risk to 78-79°F exists if the layer thins earlier than modeled, while cooler 74-75°F outcomes remain possible with stronger onshore winds. Updated NWS model runs and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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