Traders heavily favor the 34°C outcome for Chongqing’s August 5 maximum because official forecasts and regional model consensus point to a peak near that threshold under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and strong daytime insolation. Typical August climatology features highs of 32–35 °C in this mountainous, humid basin, with recent guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological centers showing 34–35 °C as the most probable range amid partly cloudy skies and limited convective cooling. The secondary 33 °C probability reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any late-day showers or slight model spread, while lower odds for 35 °C or above account for the moderating influence of the city’s topography and current moisture levels that historically cap extremes short of major heatwave amplification. Updated short-range model runs and any late-morning surface observations remain the key near-term variables that could refine these market-implied probabilities before official daily records close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日重庆气温最高？
8月5日重庆气温最高？
34°C 70%
35°C 22%
33°C 15%
36°C or higher 1.7%
$37,070 交易量
$37,070 交易量
2026-08-05
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
15%
34°C
70%
35°C
22%
36°C or higher
2%
34°C 70%
35°C 22%
33°C 15%
36°C or higher 1.7%
$37,070 交易量
$37,070 交易量
2026-08-05
26°C or below
$914 交易量
<1%
27°C
$706 交易量
<1%
28°C
$3,113 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,976 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,872 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,921 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,859 交易量
<1%
33°C
$8,549 交易量
15%
34°C
$6,214 交易量
70%
35°C
$4,954 交易量
22%
36°C or higher
$4,223 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders heavily favor the 34°C outcome for Chongqing’s August 5 maximum because official forecasts and regional model consensus point to a peak near that threshold under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and strong daytime insolation. Typical August climatology features highs of 32–35 °C in this mountainous, humid basin, with recent guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological centers showing 34–35 °C as the most probable range amid partly cloudy skies and limited convective cooling. The secondary 33 °C probability reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any late-day showers or slight model spread, while lower odds for 35 °C or above account for the moderating influence of the city’s topography and current moisture levels that historically cap extremes short of major heatwave amplification. Updated short-range model runs and any late-morning surface observations remain the key near-term variables that could refine these market-implied probabilities before official daily records close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$37,070结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders heavily favor the 34°C outcome for Chongqing’s August 5 maximum because official forecasts and regional model consensus point to a peak near that threshold under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and strong daytime insolation. Typical August climatology features highs of 32–35 °C in this mountainous, humid basin, with recent guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological centers showing 34–35 °C as the most probable range amid partly cloudy skies and limited convective cooling. The secondary 33 °C probability reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any late-day showers or slight model spread, while lower odds for 35 °C or above account for the moderating influence of the city’s topography and current moisture levels that historically cap extremes short of major heatwave amplification. Updated short-range model runs and any late-morning surface observations remain the key near-term variables that could refine these market-implied probabilities before official daily records close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,070结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTraders heavily favor the 34°C outcome for Chongqing’s August 5 maximum because official forecasts and regional model consensus point to a peak near that threshold under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and strong daytime insolation. Typical August climatology features highs of 32–35 °C in this mountainous, humid basin, with recent guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological centers showing 34–35 °C as the most probable range amid partly cloudy skies and limited convective cooling. The secondary 33 °C probability reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any late-day showers or slight model spread, while lower odds for 35 °C or above account for the moderating influence of the city’s topography and current moisture levels that historically cap extremes short of major heatwave amplification. Updated short-range model runs and any late-morning surface observations remain the key near-term variables that could refine these market-implied probabilities before official daily records close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题