Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources project a daily high near 34°C for Chongqing on August 6, aligning with the city's humid subtropical climate and typical August peaks. This drives the market's leading 34°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 33°C and 35°C. Persistent regional heatwave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures, yet steering patterns and possible afternoon convection limit upside risk above 35°C while keeping downside below 33°C contained. Short-term model consensus remains stable, with limited divergence expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日重庆气温最高？
8月6日重庆气温最高？
34°C 44%
33°C 25%
35°C 18%
32°C 8%
最新
$19,708 交易量
最新
$19,708 交易量
2026-08-06
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
25%
34°C
44%
35°C
18%
36°C
5%
37°C或以上
3%
34°C 44%
33°C 25%
35°C 18%
32°C 8%
最新
$19,708 交易量
最新
$19,708 交易量
2026-08-06
27°C or below
$253 交易量
<1%
28°C
$287 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,757 交易量
1%
30°C
$850 交易量
1%
31°C
$752 交易量
3%
32°C
$1,110 交易量
8%
33°C
$7,062 交易量
25%
34°C
$3,088 交易量
44%
35°C
$2,162 交易量
18%
36°C
$932 交易量
5%
37°C或以上
$1,455 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources project a daily high near 34°C for Chongqing on August 6, aligning with the city's humid subtropical climate and typical August peaks. This drives the market's leading 34°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 33°C and 35°C. Persistent regional heatwave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures, yet steering patterns and possible afternoon convection limit upside risk above 35°C while keeping downside below 33°C contained. Short-term model consensus remains stable, with limited divergence expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$19,708结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources project a daily high near 34°C for Chongqing on August 6, aligning with the city's humid subtropical climate and typical August peaks. This drives the market's leading 34°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 33°C and 35°C. Persistent regional heatwave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures, yet steering patterns and possible afternoon convection limit upside risk above 35°C while keeping downside below 33°C contained. Short-term model consensus remains stable, with limited divergence expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,708结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources project a daily high near 34°C for Chongqing on August 6, aligning with the city's humid subtropical climate and typical August peaks. This drives the market's leading 34°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 33°C and 35°C. Persistent regional heatwave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures, yet steering patterns and possible afternoon convection limit upside risk above 35°C while keeping downside below 33°C contained. Short-term model consensus remains stable, with limited divergence expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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