Singapore's meteorological outlook for August 5, 2026, under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions with drier-than-average rainfall, supports a daily maximum near 32°C as the dominant resolution scenario. Official guidance and ensemble models show typical equatorial instability with afternoon thundery showers limiting peak heating, consistent with the 31°C long-term August average high while accounting for recent warmer tendencies. The 95% market-implied odds for 32°C reflect trader confidence in these stable patterns and historical precedents where extremes above 33°C remain infrequent without strong subsidence. A shift in cloud cover, reduced shower activity, or localized wind changes could realistically allow 33°C, though current model consensus assigns low probability to such outcomes before official final readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月5日的最高温度?
32°C 96%
33°C 5%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$38,633 交易量
$38,633 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
96%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 96%
33°C 5%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$38,633 交易量
$38,633 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
96%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Singapore's meteorological outlook for August 5, 2026, under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions with drier-than-average rainfall, supports a daily maximum near 32°C as the dominant resolution scenario. Official guidance and ensemble models show typical equatorial instability with afternoon thundery showers limiting peak heating, consistent with the 31°C long-term August average high while accounting for recent warmer tendencies. The 95% market-implied odds for 32°C reflect trader confidence in these stable patterns and historical precedents where extremes above 33°C remain infrequent without strong subsidence. A shift in cloud cover, reduced shower activity, or localized wind changes could realistically allow 33°C, though current model consensus assigns low probability to such outcomes before official final readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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