Official observations from the National Weather Service and Weather Underground at San Francisco International Airport confirm the August 4, 2026, daily maximum reached the 72–73°F range, aligning with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent onshore flow and the marine layer moderated temperatures despite a broader California heat wave driven by high pressure, keeping coastal readings near seasonal norms of 69°F rather than the inland spikes above 100°F. Model consensus and real-time station data left little room for upward revisions. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-hoc data correction could realistically alter the recorded high, though historical verification protocols make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日旧金山气温最高？
8月4日旧金山气温最高？
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F或以下 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$49,662 交易量
$49,662 交易量
2026-08-04
67°F或以下
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
是
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86°F或更高
否
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F或以下 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$49,662 交易量
$49,662 交易量
2026-08-04
67°F或以下
$1,466 交易量
否
68-69°F
$1,628 交易量
否
70-71°F
$5,995 交易量
否
72-73°F
$10,094 交易量
是
74-75°F
$3,759 交易量
否
76-77°F
$6,498 交易量
否
78-79°F
$4,182 交易量
否
80-81°F
$5,267 交易量
否
82-83°F
$4,037 交易量
否
84-85°F
$4,417 交易量
否
86°F或更高
$2,319 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service and Weather Underground at San Francisco International Airport confirm the August 4, 2026, daily maximum reached the 72–73°F range, aligning with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent onshore flow and the marine layer moderated temperatures despite a broader California heat wave driven by high pressure, keeping coastal readings near seasonal norms of 69°F rather than the inland spikes above 100°F. Model consensus and real-time station data left little room for upward revisions. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-hoc data correction could realistically alter the recorded high, though historical verification protocols make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$49,662结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service and Weather Underground at San Francisco International Airport confirm the August 4, 2026, daily maximum reached the 72–73°F range, aligning with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent onshore flow and the marine layer moderated temperatures despite a broader California heat wave driven by high pressure, keeping coastal readings near seasonal norms of 69°F rather than the inland spikes above 100°F. Model consensus and real-time station data left little room for upward revisions. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-hoc data correction could realistically alter the recorded high, though historical verification protocols make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$49,662结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from the National Weather Service and Weather Underground at San Francisco International Airport confirm the August 4, 2026, daily maximum reached the 72–73°F range, aligning with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent onshore flow and the marine layer moderated temperatures despite a broader California heat wave driven by high pressure, keeping coastal readings near seasonal norms of 69°F rather than the inland spikes above 100°F. Model consensus and real-time station data left little room for upward revisions. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-hoc data correction could realistically alter the recorded high, though historical verification protocols make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题