The market's near-certain positioning on 80-81°F stems from the official daily maximum temperature recorded at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard resolution source under National Weather Service protocols. On August 4, 2026, surface observations captured a peak of 80–81°F amid moderating onshore flow and partial marine-layer influence that capped further warming, consistent with ensemble guidance and the station's historical August climatology of 75–79°F averages. This outcome aligns with verified thermometer data rather than models or forecasts. A realistic challenge would require a post-event data revision by NOAA or a shift in the designated reporting station, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary values are confirmed and archived.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日西雅图最高温度？
8月4日西雅图最高温度？
80-81°F 100.0%
75华氏度或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$100,917 交易量
$100,917 交易量
2026-08-04
75华氏度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 100.0%
75华氏度或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$100,917 交易量
$100,917 交易量
2026-08-04
75华氏度或以下
$18,751 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$20,899 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$25,105 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$11,415 交易量
100%
82-83°F
$4,832 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$5,231 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$5,364 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$2,486 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$4,617 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$1,823 交易量
<1%
94°F或更高
$393 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain positioning on 80-81°F stems from the official daily maximum temperature recorded at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard resolution source under National Weather Service protocols. On August 4, 2026, surface observations captured a peak of 80–81°F amid moderating onshore flow and partial marine-layer influence that capped further warming, consistent with ensemble guidance and the station's historical August climatology of 75–79°F averages. This outcome aligns with verified thermometer data rather than models or forecasts. A realistic challenge would require a post-event data revision by NOAA or a shift in the designated reporting station, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary values are confirmed and archived.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$100,917结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain positioning on 80-81°F stems from the official daily maximum temperature recorded at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard resolution source under National Weather Service protocols. On August 4, 2026, surface observations captured a peak of 80–81°F amid moderating onshore flow and partial marine-layer influence that capped further warming, consistent with ensemble guidance and the station's historical August climatology of 75–79°F averages. This outcome aligns with verified thermometer data rather than models or forecasts. A realistic challenge would require a post-event data revision by NOAA or a shift in the designated reporting station, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary values are confirmed and archived.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$100,917结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThe market's near-certain positioning on 80-81°F stems from the official daily maximum temperature recorded at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard resolution source under National Weather Service protocols. On August 4, 2026, surface observations captured a peak of 80–81°F amid moderating onshore flow and partial marine-layer influence that capped further warming, consistent with ensemble guidance and the station's historical August climatology of 75–79°F averages. This outcome aligns with verified thermometer data rather than models or forecasts. A realistic challenge would require a post-event data revision by NOAA or a shift in the designated reporting station, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary values are confirmed and archived.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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