Persistent hot, sunny conditions under a typical mid-summer ridge and light southerly flow drove the market's 100% consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on August 4, aligning with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus slightly above the long-term August average of 96-98°F. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and nearby stations confirmed readings in this narrow range amid continued above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but include any last-minute convective development or station-specific measurement variance that could shift the official daily maximum by a degree or two.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月4日奥斯汀的最高温度？
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F或以下 <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$31,698 交易量
$31,698 交易量
2026-08-04
89°F或以下
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100-101°F
是
102-103°F
否
104-105°F
否
106-107°F
否
108°F或更高
否
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F或以下 <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$31,698 交易量
$31,698 交易量
2026-08-04
89°F或以下
$539 交易量
否
90-91°F
$1,072 交易量
否
92-93°F
$1,496 交易量
否
94-95°F
$1,976 交易量
否
96-97°F
$5,319 交易量
否
98-99°F
$6,738 交易量
否
100-101°F
$8,805 交易量
是
102-103°F
$3,309 交易量
否
104-105°F
$1,225 交易量
否
106-107°F
$670 交易量
否
108°F或更高
$551 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent hot, sunny conditions under a typical mid-summer ridge and light southerly flow drove the market's 100% consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on August 4, aligning with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus slightly above the long-term August average of 96-98°F. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and nearby stations confirmed readings in this narrow range amid continued above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but include any last-minute convective development or station-specific measurement variance that could shift the official daily maximum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$31,698结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent hot, sunny conditions under a typical mid-summer ridge and light southerly flow drove the market's 100% consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on August 4, aligning with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus slightly above the long-term August average of 96-98°F. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and nearby stations confirmed readings in this narrow range amid continued above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but include any last-minute convective development or station-specific measurement variance that could shift the official daily maximum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,698结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Persistent hot, sunny conditions under a typical mid-summer ridge and light southerly flow drove the market's 100% consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on August 4, aligning with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus slightly above the long-term August average of 96-98°F. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport and nearby stations confirmed readings in this narrow range amid continued above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but include any last-minute convective development or station-specific measurement variance that could shift the official daily maximum by a degree or two.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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