Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Austin on August 6 near the upper 90s to low 100s, driven by strong surface high pressure promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and light southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf. With August climatology favoring daily highs around 96–98°F and recent observations showing 99–101°F readings amid warmer-than-normal conditions, traders assign the greatest implied probability to 98–101°F bins while discounting extremes. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convection timing, or slight model spread in 850-hPa temperatures can shift the peak by a degree or two before official verification at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月6日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99华氏度 45%
100-101°F 36%
96-97°F 12%
102-103华氏度 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
12%
98-99华氏度
45%
100-101°F
36%
102-103华氏度
9%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
98-99华氏度 45%
100-101°F 36%
96-97°F 12%
102-103华氏度 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
89°F或以下
$38 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$131 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$479 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$45 交易量
3%
96-97°F
$222 交易量
12%
98-99华氏度
$56 交易量
45%
100-101°F
$69 交易量
36%
102-103华氏度
$85 交易量
9%
104-105°F
$123 交易量
4%
106-107°F
$99 交易量
<1%
108°F或更高
$93 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Austin on August 6 near the upper 90s to low 100s, driven by strong surface high pressure promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and light southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf. With August climatology favoring daily highs around 96–98°F and recent observations showing 99–101°F readings amid warmer-than-normal conditions, traders assign the greatest implied probability to 98–101°F bins while discounting extremes. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convection timing, or slight model spread in 850-hPa temperatures can shift the peak by a degree or two before official verification at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,158结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Austin on August 6 near the upper 90s to low 100s, driven by strong surface high pressure promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and light southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf. With August climatology favoring daily highs around 96–98°F and recent observations showing 99–101°F readings amid warmer-than-normal conditions, traders assign the greatest implied probability to 98–101°F bins while discounting extremes. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convection timing, or slight model spread in 850-hPa temperatures can shift the peak by a degree or two before official verification at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,158结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Austin on August 6 near the upper 90s to low 100s, driven by strong surface high pressure promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and light southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf. With August climatology favoring daily highs around 96–98°F and recent observations showing 99–101°F readings amid warmer-than-normal conditions, traders assign the greatest implied probability to 98–101°F bins while discounting extremes. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convection timing, or slight model spread in 850-hPa temperatures can shift the peak by a degree or two before official verification at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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