Current short-range forecasts from regional models indicate Guangzhou will likely see partly cloudy skies and light winds on August 7, supporting daytime highs in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical subtropical monsoon humidity and moisture. Trader consensus clusters around 36–38°C because ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability tied to cloud-cover fluctuations and any weak frontal passages that could shave 1–2°C off peak readings, while clear intervals allow radiative heating to push closer to 38°C. With the resolution window only two days away, updated China Meteorological Administration runs will refine the exact maximum and directly influence market-implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日广州气温最高?
37°C 29%
36°C 27%
38°C 21%
34°C 12%
30°C或以下
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
12%
35°C
8%
36°C
27%
37°C
29%
38°C
21%
39°C
8%
40°C或更高
12%
37°C 29%
36°C 27%
38°C 21%
34°C 12%
30°C或以下
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
12%
35°C
8%
36°C
27%
37°C
29%
38°C
21%
39°C
8%
40°C或更高
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-range forecasts from regional models indicate Guangzhou will likely see partly cloudy skies and light winds on August 7, supporting daytime highs in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical subtropical monsoon humidity and moisture. Trader consensus clusters around 36–38°C because ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability tied to cloud-cover fluctuations and any weak frontal passages that could shave 1–2°C off peak readings, while clear intervals allow radiative heating to push closer to 38°C. With the resolution window only two days away, updated China Meteorological Administration runs will refine the exact maximum and directly influence market-implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题