Trader consensus has converged on a 76-77°F high for Los Angeles on August 4 because official observations at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) recorded a peak in that narrow range, consistent with National Weather Service data. Persistent marine layer clouds and strong onshore flow suppressed daytime heating along the coast, preventing the typical summer warming that would otherwise push readings into the low 80s. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for early August when coastal advection dominates, and the market-implied odds reflect the certainty of verified station data over broader regional forecasts. Only an undetected sensor error or nonstandard measurement protocol could realistically alter the resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日洛杉矶气温最高?
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F或以下 <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$57,330 交易量
$57,330 交易量
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F或以下 <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$57,330 交易量
$57,330 交易量
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus has converged on a 76-77°F high for Los Angeles on August 4 because official observations at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) recorded a peak in that narrow range, consistent with National Weather Service data. Persistent marine layer clouds and strong onshore flow suppressed daytime heating along the coast, preventing the typical summer warming that would otherwise push readings into the low 80s. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for early August when coastal advection dominates, and the market-implied odds reflect the certainty of verified station data over broader regional forecasts. Only an undetected sensor error or nonstandard measurement protocol could realistically alter the resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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