Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami project a daily high near 88°F on August 5 amid the region's typical wet-season pattern of afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms. These convective cells often develop by midday, increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that caps peak temperatures below the 91°F climatological normal. Following an exceptionally warm July with extended streaks above 90°F, current model consensus and observational trends favor stabilization around the upper 80s rather than renewed heat buildup. Market-implied odds align with this outlook, assigning the highest probability to the 88-89°F bin while assigning minimal weight to extremes above 92°F.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日迈阿密气温最高?
88-89°F 54%
90-91°F 24%
86-87°F 22%
92-93°F 3%
$29,441 交易量
$29,441 交易量
77华氏度或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
54%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
88-89°F 54%
90-91°F 24%
86-87°F 22%
92-93°F 3%
$29,441 交易量
$29,441 交易量
77华氏度或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
54%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami project a daily high near 88°F on August 5 amid the region's typical wet-season pattern of afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms. These convective cells often develop by midday, increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that caps peak temperatures below the 91°F climatological normal. Following an exceptionally warm July with extended streaks above 90°F, current model consensus and observational trends favor stabilization around the upper 80s rather than renewed heat buildup. Market-implied odds align with this outlook, assigning the highest probability to the 88-89°F bin while assigning minimal weight to extremes above 92°F.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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