Current forecast guidance from NOAA and regional models supports the market's heaviest weighting on an 88-89°F high for Miami on August 6, aligning with the August climatological average near 89°F and typical late-summer sea-breeze and convective patterns that cap daytime maxima. Persistent warmth following July 2026's second-hottest month on record has kept probabilities elevated for the 88-91°F range, while afternoon thunderstorm development remains the key variable that could suppress readings into the mid-80s. Updated National Weather Service short-term forecasts and final verification observations will resolve the market within the next 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日迈阿密气温最高?
88-89°F 43%
86-87°F 25%
90-91°F 17%
84-85°F 4%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
43%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 43%
86-87°F 25%
90-91°F 17%
84-85°F 4%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
43%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast guidance from NOAA and regional models supports the market's heaviest weighting on an 88-89°F high for Miami on August 6, aligning with the August climatological average near 89°F and typical late-summer sea-breeze and convective patterns that cap daytime maxima. Persistent warmth following July 2026's second-hottest month on record has kept probabilities elevated for the 88-91°F range, while afternoon thunderstorm development remains the key variable that could suppress readings into the mid-80s. Updated National Weather Service short-term forecasts and final verification observations will resolve the market within the next 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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