High humidity and subtropical maritime air in Miami limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near seasonal norms of 78°F amid light winds and warm Gulf Stream waters. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and associated cloud cover on August 4–5 further trap heat, supporting the market’s near-even split between 78–79°F (49%) and 76–77°F (43.5%). Model guidance shows modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and convective timing that could tip the low a degree either way, while clearer breaks would favor the cooler bin. Traders weigh National Weather Service forecasts against climatological baselines, recognizing that typical August conditions rarely allow deeper drops absent unusual synoptic cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日迈阿密最低气温?
78-79°F 51%
76-77°F 44%
74-75°F 4.5%
72-73°F <1%
67华氏度或更低
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
44%
78-79°F
53%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
78-79°F 51%
76-77°F 44%
74-75°F 4.5%
72-73°F <1%
67华氏度或更低
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
44%
78-79°F
53%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
High humidity and subtropical maritime air in Miami limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near seasonal norms of 78°F amid light winds and warm Gulf Stream waters. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and associated cloud cover on August 4–5 further trap heat, supporting the market’s near-even split between 78–79°F (49%) and 76–77°F (43.5%). Model guidance shows modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and convective timing that could tip the low a degree either way, while clearer breaks would favor the cooler bin. Traders weigh National Weather Service forecasts against climatological baselines, recognizing that typical August conditions rarely allow deeper drops absent unusual synoptic cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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