Recent meteorological model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather places Beijing’s August 7 maximum near 35–37 °C, supported by persistent warm advection, high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon, and light southerly flow ahead of the Beginning of Autumn solar term. Afternoon thunderstorm potential introduces downward pressure on peak readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while urban heat-island effects could locally elevate observations. Ensemble spreads in global models highlight modest uncertainty around these thresholds, consistent with historical early-August variability where highs occasionally exceed 35 °C but rarely reach 39 °C without strong blocking patterns. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日北京气温最高?
36°C 28%
35°C 27%
37°C 20%
34°C 16%
31°C或以下
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
16%
35°C
27%
36°C
28%
37°C
20%
38°C
14%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C或更高
2%
36°C 28%
35°C 27%
37°C 20%
34°C 16%
31°C或以下
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
16%
35°C
27%
36°C
28%
37°C
20%
38°C
14%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather places Beijing’s August 7 maximum near 35–37 °C, supported by persistent warm advection, high humidity typical of the East Asian summer monsoon, and light southerly flow ahead of the Beginning of Autumn solar term. Afternoon thunderstorm potential introduces downward pressure on peak readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while urban heat-island effects could locally elevate observations. Ensemble spreads in global models highlight modest uncertainty around these thresholds, consistent with historical early-August variability where highs occasionally exceed 35 °C but rarely reach 39 °C without strong blocking patterns. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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