The tight clustering around 33–34°C reflects short-range model consensus for Shanghai’s August 7 maximum, shaped by subtropical high pressure over eastern China that favors strong daytime heating across the Yangtze delta while scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create modest uncertainty in peak readings. Historical early-August averages hover near 32–34°C, with official urban stations prone to urban heat-island amplification amid 60–80% humidity. A strengthening El Niño adds a slight seasonal warm bias, yet resolution hinges on whether steering patterns suppress or enhance the diurnal peak before the China Meteorological Administration issues its final verification. Updated ECMWF and CMA runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日上海气温最高？
8月7日上海气温最高？
34°C 32%
33°C 30%
35°C 16%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
12%
33°C
30%
34°C
32%
35°C
16%
36°C
6%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 32%
33°C 30%
35°C 16%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
28°C or below
$35 交易量
1%
29°C
$35 交易量
1%
30°C
$20 交易量
3%
31°C
$89 交易量
3%
32°C
$62 交易量
12%
33°C
$379 交易量
30%
34°C
$174 交易量
32%
35°C
$116 交易量
16%
36°C
$154 交易量
6%
37°C
$405 交易量
2%
38°C or higher
$45 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight clustering around 33–34°C reflects short-range model consensus for Shanghai’s August 7 maximum, shaped by subtropical high pressure over eastern China that favors strong daytime heating across the Yangtze delta while scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create modest uncertainty in peak readings. Historical early-August averages hover near 32–34°C, with official urban stations prone to urban heat-island amplification amid 60–80% humidity. A strengthening El Niño adds a slight seasonal warm bias, yet resolution hinges on whether steering patterns suppress or enhance the diurnal peak before the China Meteorological Administration issues its final verification. Updated ECMWF and CMA runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,513结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The tight clustering around 33–34°C reflects short-range model consensus for Shanghai’s August 7 maximum, shaped by subtropical high pressure over eastern China that favors strong daytime heating across the Yangtze delta while scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create modest uncertainty in peak readings. Historical early-August averages hover near 32–34°C, with official urban stations prone to urban heat-island amplification amid 60–80% humidity. A strengthening El Niño adds a slight seasonal warm bias, yet resolution hinges on whether steering patterns suppress or enhance the diurnal peak before the China Meteorological Administration issues its final verification. Updated ECMWF and CMA runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,513结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThe tight clustering around 33–34°C reflects short-range model consensus for Shanghai’s August 7 maximum, shaped by subtropical high pressure over eastern China that favors strong daytime heating across the Yangtze delta while scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create modest uncertainty in peak readings. Historical early-August averages hover near 32–34°C, with official urban stations prone to urban heat-island amplification amid 60–80% humidity. A strengthening El Niño adds a slight seasonal warm bias, yet resolution hinges on whether steering patterns suppress or enhance the diurnal peak before the China Meteorological Administration issues its final verification. Updated ECMWF and CMA runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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