Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shanghai on August 6, which limit surface solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 33°C. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 33°C (47%) and 34°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting typical August subtropical patterns where monsoon moisture and variable steering flows suppress temperatures below seasonal peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected, supporting the narrower probabilities for 32°C or 35°C while rendering extremes below 30°C or above 36°C unlikely given current observational trends and climatological baselines. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日上海气温最高？
8月6日上海气温最高？
33°C 46%
34°C 31%
32°C 17%
35°C 7%
最新
$18,109 交易量
最新
$18,109 交易量
2026-08-06
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
17%
33°C
46%
34°C
31%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 46%
34°C 31%
32°C 17%
35°C 7%
最新
$18,109 交易量
最新
$18,109 交易量
2026-08-06
27°C or below
$253 交易量
<1%
28°C
$470 交易量
<1%
29°C
$792 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,053 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,393 交易量
5%
32°C
$3,780 交易量
17%
33°C
$1,914 交易量
46%
34°C
$3,560 交易量
31%
35°C
$2,351 交易量
7%
36°C
$986 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$823 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shanghai on August 6, which limit surface solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 33°C. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 33°C (47%) and 34°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting typical August subtropical patterns where monsoon moisture and variable steering flows suppress temperatures below seasonal peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected, supporting the narrower probabilities for 32°C or 35°C while rendering extremes below 30°C or above 36°C unlikely given current observational trends and climatological baselines. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$18,109结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shanghai on August 6, which limit surface solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 33°C. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 33°C (47%) and 34°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting typical August subtropical patterns where monsoon moisture and variable steering flows suppress temperatures below seasonal peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected, supporting the narrower probabilities for 32°C or 35°C while rendering extremes below 30°C or above 36°C unlikely given current observational trends and climatological baselines. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,109结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shanghai on August 6, which limit surface solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 33°C. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 33°C (47%) and 34°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting typical August subtropical patterns where monsoon moisture and variable steering flows suppress temperatures below seasonal peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected, supporting the narrower probabilities for 32°C or 35°C while rendering extremes below 30°C or above 36°C unlikely given current observational trends and climatological baselines. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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