Latest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge favoring 33–34°C afternoon peaks in Tokyo on August 7, with the Pacific High maintaining above-normal summer warmth and the urban heat island amplifying readings. Slight model spread arises from variable cloud cover and possible afternoon convection, which could cap or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity. High humidity and light winds typical of early August further influence surface temperatures. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the top two outcomes because short-range model runs remain sensitive to these mesoscale factors ahead of final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日东京气温最高？
8月7日东京气温最高？
33°C 32%
34°C 31%
32°C 17%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
17%
33°C
32%
34°C
31%
35°C
10%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 32%
34°C 31%
32°C 17%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
28°C or below
$24 交易量
1%
29°C
$10 交易量
2%
30°C
$14 交易量
3%
31°C
$0 交易量
8%
32°C
$38 交易量
17%
33°C
$3 交易量
32%
34°C
$42 交易量
31%
35°C
$38 交易量
10%
36°C
$142 交易量
5%
37°C
$35 交易量
3%
38°C or higher
$26 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge favoring 33–34°C afternoon peaks in Tokyo on August 7, with the Pacific High maintaining above-normal summer warmth and the urban heat island amplifying readings. Slight model spread arises from variable cloud cover and possible afternoon convection, which could cap or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity. High humidity and light winds typical of early August further influence surface temperatures. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the top two outcomes because short-range model runs remain sensitive to these mesoscale factors ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$365结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge favoring 33–34°C afternoon peaks in Tokyo on August 7, with the Pacific High maintaining above-normal summer warmth and the urban heat island amplifying readings. Slight model spread arises from variable cloud cover and possible afternoon convection, which could cap or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity. High humidity and light winds typical of early August further influence surface temperatures. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the top two outcomes because short-range model runs remain sensitive to these mesoscale factors ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$365结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge favoring 33–34°C afternoon peaks in Tokyo on August 7, with the Pacific High maintaining above-normal summer warmth and the urban heat island amplifying readings. Slight model spread arises from variable cloud cover and possible afternoon convection, which could cap or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity. High humidity and light winds typical of early August further influence surface temperatures. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the top two outcomes because short-range model runs remain sensitive to these mesoscale factors ahead of final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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