Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsidence warming, has pushed recent temperatures well above the early-August climatological average of 29–31 °C at Incheon International Airport. Latest KMA and international model runs project daytime maxima of 35–37 °C on August 7 under mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. The heatwave’s northward expansion from southeastern record readings (42.5 °C) has elevated trader consensus toward the 34–36 °C bin, with 35 °C holding the highest implied probability. Updated short-range forecasts and any afternoon convective development remain the key variables that could shift outcomes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日首尔(仁川)气温最高?
35°C 32%
34°C 25%
36°C 25%
37°C 14.4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
25%
35°C
32%
36°C
25%
37°C
14%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 32%
34°C 25%
36°C 25%
37°C 14.4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
25%
35°C
32%
36°C
25%
37°C
14%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsidence warming, has pushed recent temperatures well above the early-August climatological average of 29–31 °C at Incheon International Airport. Latest KMA and international model runs project daytime maxima of 35–37 °C on August 7 under mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. The heatwave’s northward expansion from southeastern record readings (42.5 °C) has elevated trader consensus toward the 34–36 °C bin, with 35 °C holding the highest implied probability. Updated short-range forecasts and any afternoon convective development remain the key variables that could shift outcomes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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