Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 5 indicate sunny intervals with a daytime high near 25°C and overnight lows shaped by moderate westerly winds and limited cloud cover, supporting trader consensus around an 18°C minimum at 52.5% implied probability and 19°C at 35.0%. These outcomes align with current model consensus favoring milder nocturnal temperatures than the seasonal average low near 13°C, driven by high-pressure influence reducing radiative cooling. Key upcoming updates from official monitoring will refine wind patterns and humidity levels that directly affect the daily minimum threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日伦敦最低气温?
18°C 62%
19°C 26%
17°C 11.8%
16°C <1%
$37,803 交易量
$37,803 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
17%
18°C
54%
19°C
33%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 62%
19°C 26%
17°C 11.8%
16°C <1%
$37,803 交易量
$37,803 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
17%
18°C
54%
19°C
33%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 5 indicate sunny intervals with a daytime high near 25°C and overnight lows shaped by moderate westerly winds and limited cloud cover, supporting trader consensus around an 18°C minimum at 52.5% implied probability and 19°C at 35.0%. These outcomes align with current model consensus favoring milder nocturnal temperatures than the seasonal average low near 13°C, driven by high-pressure influence reducing radiative cooling. Key upcoming updates from official monitoring will refine wind patterns and humidity levels that directly affect the daily minimum threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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