Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daily maximum in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on August 6, 2026, as a building ridge promotes warm-air advection ahead of any Atlantic moisture. Ensemble consensus from NOAA and private guidance clusters around 87–91 °F, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F brackets. Above-normal August climatology (mean high ~83 °F) and limited cloud cover or convection through the day support the current implied probabilities, though any overnight or morning shower activity could shave a degree or two from peak readings. Updated high-resolution runs and the NWS point forecast will provide the next key inputs before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月6日的最高温度？
纽约市8月6日的最高温度？
88-89°F 41%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 25%
92-93°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
41%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 41%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 25%
92-93°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
79°F or below
$133 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$220 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$25 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$43 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$31 交易量
25%
88-89°F
$214 交易量
41%
90-91°F
$175 交易量
28%
92-93°F
$163 交易量
6%
94-95°F
$351 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$226 交易量
<1%
98°F or higher
$192 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daily maximum in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on August 6, 2026, as a building ridge promotes warm-air advection ahead of any Atlantic moisture. Ensemble consensus from NOAA and private guidance clusters around 87–91 °F, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F brackets. Above-normal August climatology (mean high ~83 °F) and limited cloud cover or convection through the day support the current implied probabilities, though any overnight or morning shower activity could shave a degree or two from peak readings. Updated high-resolution runs and the NWS point forecast will provide the next key inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$1,771结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daily maximum in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on August 6, 2026, as a building ridge promotes warm-air advection ahead of any Atlantic moisture. Ensemble consensus from NOAA and private guidance clusters around 87–91 °F, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F brackets. Above-normal August climatology (mean high ~83 °F) and limited cloud cover or convection through the day support the current implied probabilities, though any overnight or morning shower activity could shave a degree or two from peak readings. Updated high-resolution runs and the NWS point forecast will provide the next key inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,771结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daily maximum in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on August 6, 2026, as a building ridge promotes warm-air advection ahead of any Atlantic moisture. Ensemble consensus from NOAA and private guidance clusters around 87–91 °F, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F brackets. Above-normal August climatology (mean high ~83 °F) and limited cloud cover or convection through the day support the current implied probabilities, though any overnight or morning shower activity could shave a degree or two from peak readings. Updated high-resolution runs and the NWS point forecast will provide the next key inputs before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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