**Forecast model consensus for August 6 places Munich’s daily maximum near 26–28°C at the Munich Airport station used for resolution, with DWD and ECMWF guidance showing only modest spread.** Recent cooling after the 31°C peak on August 2 reflects a shift to more zonal flow and increased low-level moisture, introducing uncertainty over afternoon cloud cover and any scattered thundery showers that could cap insolation. Traders weigh boundary-layer mixing depth, southeasterly advection of slightly cooler maritime air, and urban heat-island enhancement against the possibility of clearer skies allowing a brief 28°C spike. The near-even split between the 27°C and 28°C buckets captures this narrow forecast window, typical for a day when resolution hinges on precise timing of any diurnal convection rather than large-scale synoptic change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日慕尼黑气温最高？
8月6日慕尼黑气温最高？
28°C 29%
27°C 28%
26°C 23%
29°C or higher 19%
最新
$14,692 交易量
最新
$14,692 交易量
2026-08-06
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
23%
27°C
28%
28°C
29%
29°C or higher
19%
28°C 29%
27°C 28%
26°C 23%
29°C or higher 19%
最新
$14,692 交易量
最新
$14,692 交易量
2026-08-06
19°C or below
$433 交易量
<1%
20°C
$428 交易量
<1%
21°C
$438 交易量
<1%
22°C
$437 交易量
<1%
23°C
$772 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,231 交易量
1%
25°C
$2,934 交易量
6%
26°C
$2,535 交易量
23%
27°C
$1,277 交易量
28%
28°C
$1,152 交易量
29%
29°C or higher
$3,054 交易量
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus for August 6 places Munich’s daily maximum near 26–28°C at the Munich Airport station used for resolution, with DWD and ECMWF guidance showing only modest spread.** Recent cooling after the 31°C peak on August 2 reflects a shift to more zonal flow and increased low-level moisture, introducing uncertainty over afternoon cloud cover and any scattered thundery showers that could cap insolation. Traders weigh boundary-layer mixing depth, southeasterly advection of slightly cooler maritime air, and urban heat-island enhancement against the possibility of clearer skies allowing a brief 28°C spike. The near-even split between the 27°C and 28°C buckets captures this narrow forecast window, typical for a day when resolution hinges on precise timing of any diurnal convection rather than large-scale synoptic change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$14,692结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus for August 6 places Munich’s daily maximum near 26–28°C at the Munich Airport station used for resolution, with DWD and ECMWF guidance showing only modest spread.** Recent cooling after the 31°C peak on August 2 reflects a shift to more zonal flow and increased low-level moisture, introducing uncertainty over afternoon cloud cover and any scattered thundery showers that could cap insolation. Traders weigh boundary-layer mixing depth, southeasterly advection of slightly cooler maritime air, and urban heat-island enhancement against the possibility of clearer skies allowing a brief 28°C spike. The near-even split between the 27°C and 28°C buckets captures this narrow forecast window, typical for a day when resolution hinges on precise timing of any diurnal convection rather than large-scale synoptic change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,692结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET**Forecast model consensus for August 6 places Munich’s daily maximum near 26–28°C at the Munich Airport station used for resolution, with DWD and ECMWF guidance showing only modest spread.** Recent cooling after the 31°C peak on August 2 reflects a shift to more zonal flow and increased low-level moisture, introducing uncertainty over afternoon cloud cover and any scattered thundery showers that could cap insolation. Traders weigh boundary-layer mixing depth, southeasterly advection of slightly cooler maritime air, and urban heat-island enhancement against the possibility of clearer skies allowing a brief 28°C spike. The near-even split between the 27°C and 28°C buckets captures this narrow forecast window, typical for a day when resolution hinges on precise timing of any diurnal convection rather than large-scale synoptic change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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