Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daily minimum of 27°C for August 5 amid a warm, humid maritime air mass, light winds, and mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers—conditions typical of early August climatology where overnight lows average 26–28°C. This consensus, reinforced by model guidance and seasonal outlooks indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures, underpins the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 27°C. Traders interpret the data as low risk of significant radiative cooling or cold advection that could push readings to 26°C or below. An unexpected shift in steering patterns, clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, or revised observational data could still alter the minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日香港最低气温？
8月5日香港最低气温？
27°C 97%
26°C 4%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$37,617 交易量
$37,617 交易量
2026-08-05
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
97%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
27°C 97%
26°C 4%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$37,617 交易量
$37,617 交易量
2026-08-05
21°C或以下
$541 交易量
<1%
22°C
$535 交易量
<1%
23°C
$924 交易量
<1%
24°C
$3,551 交易量
<1%
25°C
$3,913 交易量
1%
26°C
$6,692 交易量
4%
27°C
$7,421 交易量
97%
28°C
$7,037 交易量
<1%
29°C
$4,847 交易量
<1%
30°C
$563 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$1,596 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daily minimum of 27°C for August 5 amid a warm, humid maritime air mass, light winds, and mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers—conditions typical of early August climatology where overnight lows average 26–28°C. This consensus, reinforced by model guidance and seasonal outlooks indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures, underpins the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 27°C. Traders interpret the data as low risk of significant radiative cooling or cold advection that could push readings to 26°C or below. An unexpected shift in steering patterns, clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, or revised observational data could still alter the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$37,617结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daily minimum of 27°C for August 5 amid a warm, humid maritime air mass, light winds, and mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers—conditions typical of early August climatology where overnight lows average 26–28°C. This consensus, reinforced by model guidance and seasonal outlooks indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures, underpins the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 27°C. Traders interpret the data as low risk of significant radiative cooling or cold advection that could push readings to 26°C or below. An unexpected shift in steering patterns, clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, or revised observational data could still alter the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$37,617结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daily minimum of 27°C for August 5 amid a warm, humid maritime air mass, light winds, and mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers—conditions typical of early August climatology where overnight lows average 26–28°C. This consensus, reinforced by model guidance and seasonal outlooks indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures, underpins the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 27°C. Traders interpret the data as low risk of significant radiative cooling or cold advection that could push readings to 26°C or below. An unexpected shift in steering patterns, clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, or revised observational data could still alter the minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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