Recent Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA) model consensus and ongoing heatwave conditions point to limited nocturnal cooling, supporting the market's tight clustering around 27–28°C lows for Incheon on August 8. Persistent high humidity, elevated dew points, and minimal cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while light easterly winds and urban heat retention in the Seoul metro area keep overnight minima elevated relative to climatological norms of 22–24°C. Minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture and any weak frontal passage create the narrow spread between the leading outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble guidance showing 26–29°C ranges. Updated KMA short-range forecasts and next model runs will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
28°C 37%
27°C 33%
26°C 19%
25°C 9%
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
23%
27°C
33%
28°C
37%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C或以上
1%
28°C 37%
27°C 33%
26°C 19%
25°C 9%
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
23%
27°C
33%
28°C
37%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA) model consensus and ongoing heatwave conditions point to limited nocturnal cooling, supporting the market's tight clustering around 27–28°C lows for Incheon on August 8. Persistent high humidity, elevated dew points, and minimal cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while light easterly winds and urban heat retention in the Seoul metro area keep overnight minima elevated relative to climatological norms of 22–24°C. Minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture and any weak frontal passage create the narrow spread between the leading outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble guidance showing 26–29°C ranges. Updated KMA short-range forecasts and next model runs will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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