**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s highest temperature on August 8, 2026, centers on 33–34°C (combined ~65.5% implied probability) because active southwest monsoon conditions—widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered light rain or thundershowers—are expected to limit daytime heating.** Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance issued August 5 projects a maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain, while recent observations (August 5–6) recorded 32–33°C amid overcast conditions and rainfall. Climatological August maxima in Lucknow average 31–33°C, and the current monsoon pattern has kept temperatures near or slightly below normal through persistent moisture and reduced insolation. Model consensus and recent trends favor outcomes in the low-to-mid 30s, with only modest probability assigned to 35°C or higher (16%) if clearer breaks develop, or lower readings if heavier rain arrives. The market’s tight clustering around 33–34°C reflects traders’ assessment of these monsoon-driven constraints and the limited window for significant warming before the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日勒克瑙气温最高?
34°C 38%
33°C 19%
35°C 16%
32°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
11%
33°C
19%
34°C
38%
35°C
16%
36°C or higher
5%
34°C 38%
33°C 19%
35°C 16%
32°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
11%
33°C
19%
34°C
38%
35°C
16%
36°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s highest temperature on August 8, 2026, centers on 33–34°C (combined ~65.5% implied probability) because active southwest monsoon conditions—widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered light rain or thundershowers—are expected to limit daytime heating.** Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance issued August 5 projects a maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain, while recent observations (August 5–6) recorded 32–33°C amid overcast conditions and rainfall. Climatological August maxima in Lucknow average 31–33°C, and the current monsoon pattern has kept temperatures near or slightly below normal through persistent moisture and reduced insolation. Model consensus and recent trends favor outcomes in the low-to-mid 30s, with only modest probability assigned to 35°C or higher (16%) if clearer breaks develop, or lower readings if heavier rain arrives. The market’s tight clustering around 33–34°C reflects traders’ assessment of these monsoon-driven constraints and the limited window for significant warming before the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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