Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 28–29°C for Shanghai on August 8, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity levels above 70% that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Typical August conditions in the region feature average overnight lows of 25–27°C, with recent model runs showing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms further suppressing temperature drops. These factors align with historical East Asian summer patterns under strong high-pressure influence, positioning 28°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes like 29°C reflect minor forecast variability in steering patterns and moisture. Upcoming updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日上海最低气温?
28°C 36%
29°C 27%
26°C 9%
27°C 8%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25℃
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
8%
28°C
46%
29°C
27%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
<1%
28°C 36%
29°C 27%
26°C 9%
27°C 8%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25℃
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
8%
28°C
46%
29°C
27%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 28–29°C for Shanghai on August 8, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity levels above 70% that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Typical August conditions in the region feature average overnight lows of 25–27°C, with recent model runs showing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms further suppressing temperature drops. These factors align with historical East Asian summer patterns under strong high-pressure influence, positioning 28°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes like 29°C reflect minor forecast variability in steering patterns and moisture. Upcoming updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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