Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to a cooler-than-average day on August 7 in São Paulo, driven by increased cloud cover, rainfall (around 20 mm in some projections), and a passing frontal system that limits solar heating and daytime warming. This aligns with typical early-August winter conditions under subtropical high pressure, where average highs range 23–25°C, but recent model runs favor maxima near or below 22–24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 22°C or below, incorporates this short-term cooling signal alongside historical baselines and the low likelihood of extreme anomalies exceeding 28°C. Upcoming National Meteorological Institute updates and refined model ensembles over the next 24 hours could further refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月7日圣保罗的最高温度？
22°C or below 25%
24°C 16%
25°C 16%
26°C 13%
最新
$19,848 交易量
最新
$19,848 交易量
2026-08-07
22°C or below
25%
23°C
12%
24°C
16%
25°C
16%
26°C
13%
27°C
8%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 25%
24°C 16%
25°C 16%
26°C 13%
最新
$19,848 交易量
最新
$19,848 交易量
2026-08-07
22°C or below
$5,221 交易量
25%
23°C
$2,252 交易量
12%
24°C
$2,650 交易量
16%
25°C
$2,245 交易量
16%
26°C
$2,613 交易量
13%
27°C
$1,455 交易量
8%
28°C
$1,323 交易量
6%
29°C
$1,039 交易量
3%
30°C
$469 交易量
<1%
31°C
$200 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$381 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to a cooler-than-average day on August 7 in São Paulo, driven by increased cloud cover, rainfall (around 20 mm in some projections), and a passing frontal system that limits solar heating and daytime warming. This aligns with typical early-August winter conditions under subtropical high pressure, where average highs range 23–25°C, but recent model runs favor maxima near or below 22–24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 22°C or below, incorporates this short-term cooling signal alongside historical baselines and the low likelihood of extreme anomalies exceeding 28°C. Upcoming National Meteorological Institute updates and refined model ensembles over the next 24 hours could further refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$19,848结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to a cooler-than-average day on August 7 in São Paulo, driven by increased cloud cover, rainfall (around 20 mm in some projections), and a passing frontal system that limits solar heating and daytime warming. This aligns with typical early-August winter conditions under subtropical high pressure, where average highs range 23–25°C, but recent model runs favor maxima near or below 22–24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 22°C or below, incorporates this short-term cooling signal alongside historical baselines and the low likelihood of extreme anomalies exceeding 28°C. Upcoming National Meteorological Institute updates and refined model ensembles over the next 24 hours could further refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,848结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological models point to a cooler-than-average day on August 7 in São Paulo, driven by increased cloud cover, rainfall (around 20 mm in some projections), and a passing frontal system that limits solar heating and daytime warming. This aligns with typical early-August winter conditions under subtropical high pressure, where average highs range 23–25°C, but recent model runs favor maxima near or below 22–24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 22°C or below, incorporates this short-term cooling signal alongside historical baselines and the low likelihood of extreme anomalies exceeding 28°C. Upcoming National Meteorological Institute updates and refined model ensembles over the next 24 hours could further refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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