Recent weather model consensus points to a cooling trend in Moscow on August 8, with daytime highs expected near 24–26°C after several days above 30°C, driven by increased cloud cover, a shift in steering winds, and the passage of a cooler air mass. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around these values, with minor differences arising from variations in boundary layer mixing, exact frontal timing, and localized urban heat effects. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 24°C and 25°C outcomes because short-range model runs remain sensitive to small changes in moisture and insolation, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band given the absence of extreme heat or rapid advection. Updated guidance from global and regional models expected overnight will likely refine the precise maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日莫斯科最高气温?
24°C 42%
25°C 41%
23°C 8%
26°C 6%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
42%
25°C
41%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
24°C 42%
25°C 41%
23°C 8%
26°C 6%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
42%
25°C
41%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus points to a cooling trend in Moscow on August 8, with daytime highs expected near 24–26°C after several days above 30°C, driven by increased cloud cover, a shift in steering winds, and the passage of a cooler air mass. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around these values, with minor differences arising from variations in boundary layer mixing, exact frontal timing, and localized urban heat effects. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 24°C and 25°C outcomes because short-range model runs remain sensitive to small changes in moisture and insolation, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band given the absence of extreme heat or rapid advection. Updated guidance from global and regional models expected overnight will likely refine the precise maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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