Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the Met Office and ECMWF, indicate Istanbul highs near 28–30 °C on August 9 under mostly sunny, high-pressure conditions. Market-implied odds favor 27 °C (54 %) and 28 °C (35 %) because localized Bosphorus sea breezes and possible afternoon boundary-layer mixing can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C relative to inland guidance. Official resolution relies on Turkish Meteorological Service observations at central stations, where historical August maxima average 28–30 °C. Traders are weighting these microscale cooling effects and the narrow forecast spread more heavily than broader regional warmth signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
8月9日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
27°C 51%
28°C 27%
29°C 23%
26°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
23°C或以下
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
12%
26°C
13%
27°C
51%
28°C
27%
29°C
23%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
2%
27°C 51%
28°C 27%
29°C 23%
26°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
23°C或以下
$12 交易量
4%
24°C
$12 交易量
6%
25°C
$1 交易量
12%
26°C
$0 交易量
13%
27°C
$5 交易量
51%
28°C
$0 交易量
27%
29°C
$0 交易量
23%
30°C
$0 交易量
5%
31°C
$11 交易量
2%
32°C
$12 交易量
2%
33°C或更高
$12 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the Met Office and ECMWF, indicate Istanbul highs near 28–30 °C on August 9 under mostly sunny, high-pressure conditions. Market-implied odds favor 27 °C (54 %) and 28 °C (35 %) because localized Bosphorus sea breezes and possible afternoon boundary-layer mixing can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C relative to inland guidance. Official resolution relies on Turkish Meteorological Service observations at central stations, where historical August maxima average 28–30 °C. Traders are weighting these microscale cooling effects and the narrow forecast spread more heavily than broader regional warmth signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$65结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the Met Office and ECMWF, indicate Istanbul highs near 28–30 °C on August 9 under mostly sunny, high-pressure conditions. Market-implied odds favor 27 °C (54 %) and 28 °C (35 %) because localized Bosphorus sea breezes and possible afternoon boundary-layer mixing can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C relative to inland guidance. Official resolution relies on Turkish Meteorological Service observations at central stations, where historical August maxima average 28–30 °C. Traders are weighting these microscale cooling effects and the narrow forecast spread more heavily than broader regional warmth signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$65结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the Met Office and ECMWF, indicate Istanbul highs near 28–30 °C on August 9 under mostly sunny, high-pressure conditions. Market-implied odds favor 27 °C (54 %) and 28 °C (35 %) because localized Bosphorus sea breezes and possible afternoon boundary-layer mixing can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C relative to inland guidance. Official resolution relies on Turkish Meteorological Service observations at central stations, where historical August maxima average 28–30 °C. Traders are weighting these microscale cooling effects and the narrow forecast spread more heavily than broader regional warmth signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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