Recent weather models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 9 will likely settle near 26–28°C due to persistent subtropical humidity and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, with forecast guidance showing only modest day-to-day variation. Typical August climatology features lows around 25–26°C, but steering patterns and any late-afternoon thunderstorms could suppress or elevate the reading by 1–2°C. The close market split between 27°C and 28°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as traders weigh ensemble spreads from regional models against the moderating influence of the East China Sea and Shanghai's urban heat island. Updated forecasts ahead of the weekend will likely tighten consensus around these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日上海最低气温?
27°C 40%
28°C 37%
26°C 13%
29°C 9%
22℃或以下
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
40%
28°C
37%
29°C
9%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
1%
27°C 40%
28°C 37%
26°C 13%
29°C 9%
22℃或以下
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
40%
28°C
37%
29°C
9%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent weather models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 9 will likely settle near 26–28°C due to persistent subtropical humidity and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, with forecast guidance showing only modest day-to-day variation. Typical August climatology features lows around 25–26°C, but steering patterns and any late-afternoon thunderstorms could suppress or elevate the reading by 1–2°C. The close market split between 27°C and 28°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as traders weigh ensemble spreads from regional models against the moderating influence of the East China Sea and Shanghai's urban heat island. Updated forecasts ahead of the weekend will likely tighten consensus around these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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