**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s August 9 maximum temperature reflects the competing influences of seasonal heat and the approaching Typhoon Dolphin.** With August climatology normally supporting daily highs near 31–32 °C under the subtropical high, recent model guidance has shifted emphasis toward cooling from the typhoon’s outer bands. Increased cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and northeasterly flow are expected to limit insolation and advect cooler marine air, pulling the peak downward. Forecasts from global and regional models converge on a most-likely range of 28–30 °C for the 9th, with timeanddate.com guidance showing an 82 °F (≈28 °C) high amid overcast skies and flash-flood risk. Slight differences in the typhoon’s exact track, landfall timing, and rain-band coverage create the narrow spread between 29 °C (34.5 %) and 30 °C (31.0 %), while lower and higher outcomes remain low-probability tails. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the primary catalysts for any further market movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日上海气温最高？
8月9日上海气温最高？
29°C 34%
30°C 31%
31°C 17%
28°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
34%
30°C
31%
31°C
17%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 31%
31°C 17%
28°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
24°C or below
$4,067 交易量
1%
25°C
$1,568 交易量
1%
26°C
$333 交易量
6%
27°C
$537 交易量
3%
28°C
$623 交易量
13%
29°C
$960 交易量
34%
30°C
$354 交易量
31%
31°C
$178 交易量
17%
32°C
$120 交易量
4%
33°C
$158 交易量
1%
34°C or higher
$160 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s August 9 maximum temperature reflects the competing influences of seasonal heat and the approaching Typhoon Dolphin.** With August climatology normally supporting daily highs near 31–32 °C under the subtropical high, recent model guidance has shifted emphasis toward cooling from the typhoon’s outer bands. Increased cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and northeasterly flow are expected to limit insolation and advect cooler marine air, pulling the peak downward.
Forecasts from global and regional models converge on a most-likely range of 28–30 °C for the 9th, with timeanddate.com guidance showing an 82 °F (≈28 °C) high amid overcast skies and flash-flood risk. Slight differences in the typhoon’s exact track, landfall timing, and rain-band coverage create the narrow spread between 29 °C (34.5 %) and 30 °C (31.0 %), while lower and higher outcomes remain low-probability tails. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the primary catalysts for any further market movement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$9,057结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s August 9 maximum temperature reflects the competing influences of seasonal heat and the approaching Typhoon Dolphin.** With August climatology normally supporting daily highs near 31–32 °C under the subtropical high, recent model guidance has shifted emphasis toward cooling from the typhoon’s outer bands. Increased cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and northeasterly flow are expected to limit insolation and advect cooler marine air, pulling the peak downward.
Forecasts from global and regional models converge on a most-likely range of 28–30 °C for the 9th, with timeanddate.com guidance showing an 82 °F (≈28 °C) high amid overcast skies and flash-flood risk. Slight differences in the typhoon’s exact track, landfall timing, and rain-band coverage create the narrow spread between 29 °C (34.5 %) and 30 °C (31.0 %), while lower and higher outcomes remain low-probability tails. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the primary catalysts for any further market movement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,057结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s August 9 maximum temperature reflects the competing influences of seasonal heat and the approaching Typhoon Dolphin.** With August climatology normally supporting daily highs near 31–32 °C under the subtropical high, recent model guidance has shifted emphasis toward cooling from the typhoon’s outer bands. Increased cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and northeasterly flow are expected to limit insolation and advect cooler marine air, pulling the peak downward. Forecasts from global and regional models converge on a most-likely range of 28–30 °C for the 9th, with timeanddate.com guidance showing an 82 °F (≈28 °C) high amid overcast skies and flash-flood risk. Slight differences in the typhoon’s exact track, landfall timing, and rain-band coverage create the narrow spread between 29 °C (34.5 %) and 30 °C (31.0 %), while lower and higher outcomes remain low-probability tails. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the primary catalysts for any further market movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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