Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by expected partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating ahead of any weak frontal influence. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture—factors that control the urban heat island amplification and diurnal temperature range—can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology shows averages of 31–32°C, with higher readings only under clearer, drier conditions that current guidance does not strongly favor. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日上海气温最高？
8月8日上海气温最高？
32°C 39%
33°C 34%
31°C 16%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
16%
32°C
39%
33°C
34%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
33°C 34%
31°C 16%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
27°C or below
$447 交易量
<1%
28°C
$475 交易量
1%
29°C
$391 交易量
1%
30°C
$1,056 交易量
4%
31°C
$765 交易量
16%
32°C
$367 交易量
39%
33°C
$176 交易量
34%
34°C
$200 交易量
11%
35°C
$172 交易量
2%
36°C
$21 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$20 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by expected partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating ahead of any weak frontal influence. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture—factors that control the urban heat island amplification and diurnal temperature range—can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology shows averages of 31–32°C, with higher readings only under clearer, drier conditions that current guidance does not strongly favor. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$4,090结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by expected partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating ahead of any weak frontal influence. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture—factors that control the urban heat island amplification and diurnal temperature range—can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology shows averages of 31–32°C, with higher readings only under clearer, drier conditions that current guidance does not strongly favor. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,090结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by expected partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating ahead of any weak frontal influence. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture—factors that control the urban heat island amplification and diurnal temperature range—can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology shows averages of 31–32°C, with higher readings only under clearer, drier conditions that current guidance does not strongly favor. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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