Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models converge on daytime highs of 34–37°C for Madrid on August 7 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light northeasterly flow, favoring strong solar heating in the city's continental climate. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's emphasis on 38°C and 39°C outcomes while capping upside risk below 40°C absent a late model shift. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C provide context, yet current conditions align with the upper end of typical variability. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine exact maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日马德里气温最高？
8月7日马德里气温最高？
38°C 47%
39°C 30%
37°C 10%
40°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
35°C or below
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
10%
38°C
47%
39°C
30%
40°C
9%
41°C
2%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 47%
39°C 30%
37°C 10%
40°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
35°C or below
$19 交易量
2%
36°C
$12 交易量
4%
37°C
$21 交易量
10%
38°C
$195 交易量
47%
39°C
$64 交易量
30%
40°C
$91 交易量
9%
41°C
$136 交易量
2%
42°C
$67 交易量
1%
43°C
$21 交易量
<1%
44°C
$36 交易量
<1%
45°C or higher
$397 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models converge on daytime highs of 34–37°C for Madrid on August 7 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light northeasterly flow, favoring strong solar heating in the city's continental climate. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's emphasis on 38°C and 39°C outcomes while capping upside risk below 40°C absent a late model shift. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C provide context, yet current conditions align with the upper end of typical variability. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine exact maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,057结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models converge on daytime highs of 34–37°C for Madrid on August 7 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light northeasterly flow, favoring strong solar heating in the city's continental climate. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's emphasis on 38°C and 39°C outcomes while capping upside risk below 40°C absent a late model shift. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C provide context, yet current conditions align with the upper end of typical variability. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine exact maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,057结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from AEMET and global models converge on daytime highs of 34–37°C for Madrid on August 7 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light northeasterly flow, favoring strong solar heating in the city's continental climate. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's emphasis on 38°C and 39°C outcomes while capping upside risk below 40°C absent a late model shift. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C provide context, yet current conditions align with the upper end of typical variability. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine exact maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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